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News for: Bond Markets
Showing 25 - 48 of 364 results
Mar 26, 2026 2:32 PM — Bond Markets
That Escalated Quickly
There was a linear and steady selling trend in the bond market on Thursday, with escalated pressure after some initial hopes for the opposite. The selling began in the overnight session and intensified throughout the day, with the entire market positioning defensively for potential volatility over the weekend.
Mar 25, 2026 6:31 AM — Bond Markets
Bonds Showing Some Optimism About Turning Point in The War
U.S. officials have been discussing ending the war for several weeks, with recent comments from Trump indicating the war could be over soon. Yesterday's developments, including Trump's statement that the war has been 'won' and a 30-day ceasefire announcement from Israel, have had a significant impact on markets. Despite Iran refuting negotiation claims and launching more air strikes, oil prices an... more
Mar 24, 2026 4:31 PM — Bond Markets
Juxtaposition of Escalation and De-escalation Keeping Bonds Volatile
Financial markets attempted to trade the Iran war on Tuesday, reacting to conflicting news developments throughout the day. Yields initially rose on troop deployment news but retraced most of their losses later on. The war developments are more impactful on markets than economic data this week.
Mar 23, 2026 7:30 AM — Bond Markets
Big Early AM Rally Gets Bonds Back in The Green
Bond market experienced a rough night until news of 'talks' between US and Iran surfaced, resulting in lower yields and oil prices. Stocks rallied as a result. Reports suggested talks happened through intermediaries, causing uncertainty in the market.
Mar 20, 2026 6:30 AM — Bond Markets
Central Banks Cite Oil to Steal Spotlight From Oil
Central banks have shifted the market focus from energy prices to inflation risks and rate hikes. The increased energy prices have led to concerns about inflation and eliminated expectations for rate cuts, with some European banks even considering rate hikes. Fed Funds Futures in the U.S. are now pricing in a 10% chance of a rate hike at the next meeting. There are worries about lasting inflation ... more
Mar 19, 2026 12:30 PM — Bond Markets
Volatile Day Thanks to Central Banks And, Eventually Oil
Bonds were initially focused on European Central Bank policy news, including higher inflation forecasts and rate hike expectations for 2026. The front end of the yield curve suffered, but later in the day, geopolitical headlines caused oil prices to drop sharply, taking bond yields along with them.
Mar 19, 2026 9:30 AM — Bond Markets
Mortgage rates climb to highest level in more than 3 months as Iran war reignites inflation fears
CNN
The Fear & Greed Index is a tool that provides a snapshot of the current sentiment in the market, signaling whether investors are feeling fear or greed. It takes into account various factors such as stock price momentum, market volatility, and safe-haven demand.
Mar 18, 2026 10:31 AM — Bond Markets
Fixed mortgage rates up dramatically since start of Iran war — and they’re unlikely to drop soon
Canadians are experiencing significant increases in bond yields due to the correlation with rising oil prices.
Mar 18, 2026 6:30 AM — Bond Markets
Overnight Gains Erased by PPI/Oil. Fed on Deck
The Producer Price Index (PPI) data released today showed elevated components that flow through to a more important inflation metric. Bonds are reacting not only to PPI but also following oil prices. The Fed announcement and dot plot are scheduled for 2pm.
Mar 18, 2026 1:30 AM — Bond Markets
Fixed mortgage rates up dramatically since start of Iran war — and they’re unlikely to drop soon
Canadians are experiencing significant increases in bond yields due to the impact of rising oil prices.
Mar 17, 2026 1:31 PM — Bond Markets
Sleepy Pre-Fed Day, But Slightly Stronger
Bonds closed at stronger levels for the second consecutive day, despite slightly higher oil prices. The day was not overly impressive, but it marks a shift from certain moments last week.
Mar 17, 2026 7:30 AM — Bond Markets
Another Solid Start, But Without as Much Help From Oil
Bond traders are closely monitoring oil prices and comparing their movement to bond market movement, with bonds outperforming this morning despite solid directional correlation between yields and oil prices. Today's highest volume minute occurred with the 8:15am ADP data showing a significant drop, but there was not a big reaction in yields. Bonds seem to be finding comfort in the absence of major... more
Mar 16, 2026 1:30 PM — Bond Markets
Simple, Strong Correlation With Oil Leaves Yields Lower
Oil prices and bond yields were down significantly, showing a strong correlation throughout the trading session. Economic data did not have a significant impact on trading. Stocks were inversely correlated to oil and bond yields. Energy prices have been the dominant market mover in March.
Mar 13, 2026 6:30 AM — Bond Markets
Decent Start, Lower Oil Prices, Weaker Data
Despite a big miss in core retail sales and a downward revision in GDP, the impact on bonds, especially from the PCE inflation report, was minimal. The reaction was difficult to separate from a drop in oil prices, resulting in only a small decrease in 10yr yields and slight improvement in MBS.
Mar 12, 2026 8:30 AM — Bond Markets
Bonds Remain On The Run
The bond market is facing challenges due to ongoing war in Iran, which is leading to inflationary effects on various sectors. Economic fallout may help offset inflation, but rates are not expected to make significant downward progress until bonds price in another potential inflation reckoning. Headlines about military activities have pushed the June Fed rate cut outlook to its worst levels in a ye... more
Mar 9, 2026 1:33 PM — Bond Markets
Big Round Trip in Oil Prices and Bond Yields
Oil price volatility caused significant movement in the bond market this morning, with the largest daily move on record. This led to a spike in 10-year yields, but they quickly reversed course as European and U.S. trading began, ending the day unchanged at 4.13%. Mortgage-backed securities also experienced fluctuations throughout the day.
Mar 9, 2026 5:38 AM — Bond Markets
Biggest Oil Spike Yet Leaves No Doubts
Since the military operation in Iran began, there has been a correlation between rising oil prices and bond yields, with oil prices and bond yields moving higher together over the past week. This correlation became even more pronounced today with a new surge in oil prices due to Iran's leadership announcement.
Mar 6, 2026 6:30 AM — Bond Markets
Massive Miss in NFP. So Why Aren't Bonds Improving?
Despite nonfarm payrolls missing the forecast by a wide margin, bonds did not rally as expected due to the unemployment rate carrying more weight in today's market. The payroll count was distorted by health care strikes, impacting the NFP numbers significantly. In addition, the surge in oil prices is causing inflation implications and a correlation between oil prices and Treasury rates is causing ... more
Mar 5, 2026 1:30 PM — Bond Markets
Dueling Narratives Leave Yields Higher Ahead of Jobs Report
Treasuries continued to sell despite oil prices rising initially, but then Treasuries stabilized while oil prices surged. The market is hoping the upcoming jobs report will help restore normal market correlations.
Mar 5, 2026 12:30 PM — Bond Markets
10yr Breaking Above 4.10% After Overnight weakness
The bond market is showing indifference to this week's economic data, including stronger jobless claims and a big uptick in labor costs. Overnight selling has pushed 10yr yields more than 3bps higher, breaking above the 4.10% technical level. The connection between this move and underlying motivation is not clear, but oil prices and yields continue to correlate.
Mar 5, 2026 9:30 AM — Bond Markets
Mortgage rates hit 6% as Iran war spooks bond market traders
CNN
The article discusses the Fear & Greed Index as a tool to measure investor sentiment in the market.
Mar 3, 2026 2:30 PM — Bond Markets
Bonds Erase Most of The AM Losses
The bond market experienced phases of weakness followed by gradual recovery, possibly influenced by conflicting voices regarding inflation expectations, Treasury issuance implications, and geopolitical uncertainty. The market saw heavy selling overnight, with 10-year Treasury yields rising and MBS prices falling, but experienced a decent recovery throughout the day.
Mar 3, 2026 9:30 AM — Bond Markets
Heavy Overnight Selling But Inflation Narrative Remains in Doubt
Bonds sold off overnight with 10yr yields approaching 4.10%. There is a stronger correlation with higher oil prices and rising bond yields, leading to the assumption of higher inflation and rates. However, market-based inflation expectations have not shown much of an uptick in the past 2 days. Analysts suspect Treasury issuance implications related to military spending are a factor in the sell-off... more
Mar 2, 2026 1:30 PM — Bond Markets
Big Bad Day For Bonds. What's Next?
Bonds sold off early and aggressively on Monday due to higher oil prices implying higher inflation and rates. The sell-off was attributed to timing, technical factors, and the goal of re-entering the 4%+ range. Despite closing at 4.04%, it's considered a short term reset with no guarantee of additional momentum. Sharp selling started at 7am with 10yr up 5.9bps at 4.009 and MBS down a quarter point... more
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