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News for: Bond Markets
Showing 1 - 24 of 310 results
Feb 26, 2026 2:30 PM — Bond Markets
Knock Knock Knockin' on 10yr Floor
The bond market is approaching 'floor' levels in the 7yr Treasury yield and 10yr yield. There isn't a clear motivation for these movements aside from general stock market malaise and economic uncertainty. Overnight trading has been choppy and sideways with MBS and 10yr yields fluctuating slightly throughout the day.
Feb 26, 2026 9:30 AM — Bond Markets
Mortgage rates fall below 6% for the first time in more than 3 years
CNN
The Fear & Greed Index is a tool used to gauge market sentiment by measuring the levels of fear and greed in the market. This index can help investors make decisions based on the emotions driving market movements.
Feb 25, 2026 1:31 PM — Bond Markets
In-Range PM Weakness
The bond market experienced some volatility today with weaker opening levels leading to a mid-day rally, but ultimately ending with steady selling in the afternoon. Despite this, trading levels remained within the prevailing range and there were no clear reasons for the movements. Overnight, there was modest weakness in MBS and a slight increase in the 10-year treasury yield.
Feb 25, 2026 9:30 AM — Bond Markets
Re-Settling Into Same Narrow Range Amid Lack of Data
Analysts are discussing trading ranges, technicals, asset allocation trade, and Treasury auction ahead of 10yr yields not pushing below 4.0% and slow stock market recovery possibly pulling yields higher.
Feb 24, 2026 6:30 AM — Bond Markets
Slower Start, More Sideways. Stock Lever in Play
Today, volume and volatility are lower compared to yesterday, but there is still a theme of risk aversion in play. It is difficult to determine if risk aversion is causing the movement in stocks and bond yields or if there is just a correlation between the two. Both stocks and bond yields have increased slightly from yesterday's lows and have been mostly flat so far today. The economic calendar is... more
Feb 23, 2026 1:30 PM — Bond Markets
General Risk Aversion Trade Helping Bonds
Bonds started the day slightly stronger and continued to improve throughout, with the rally coinciding with stock sell-offs. This indicates a 'risk-off' pattern in the broader market amid global trade uncertainty.
Feb 23, 2026 7:30 AM — Bond Markets
Stronger Start. Quiet Calendar
The bond market is starting the week slightly stronger but remains within its current trading range. There were no significant market movers over the weekend, with some uncertainty surrounding tariffs and trade weighing on investor sentiment. The economic calendar for the week is quiet, with Friday's PPI report being the most relevant, although not highly anticipated. Trade and geopolitical headli... more
Feb 20, 2026 1:30 PM — Bond Markets
Tariff Ruling Tried (And Failed) to Steal The Show
On Friday morning, news of the Supreme Court striking down the IEEPA tariffs had some impact on bond markets, leading to some volatility with less than a 3bps movement in 10yr yields. However, most of the movement was recovered as the day progressed. Despite some fluctuations, the MBS remained relatively unchanged throughout the day.
Feb 20, 2026 12:30 PM — Bond Markets
Mortgage Rates End Week at Lows
Bonds experienced volatility in response to a Supreme Court ruling on tariffs, leading to higher Treasury yields and lower mortgage-backed securities prices. However, the reaction was contained, with bonds erasing most of the impact by the afternoon. Mortgage lenders maintained yesterday's rate offerings due to steady bond improvement, resulting in slightly lower average rates overall.
Feb 20, 2026 6:33 AM — Bond Markets
Opening Salvo of Data Fails to Inspire
GDP missed expectations largely due to non-economic reasons such as federal worker labor during the shutdown and late-breaking changes in the trade gap. More economically indicative metrics suggest a sideways drift. Monthly PCE inflation was slightly higher than expected in December with no significant impact on bonds.
Feb 19, 2026 5:30 AM — Bond Markets
Accidental Clairvoyance (Not Really...)
Bonds are weaker without any specific fundamental reason, with trading being driven more by technical factors. Jobless Claims data came in better than expected, but this didn't help bond performance. Yields have reached 4.10, and the market is waiting for Friday's economic data before making any significant moves.
Feb 18, 2026 3:30 PM — Bond Markets
Half-Hearted Correction Continues
Yields rallied 30bps in just over a week but haven't done much over the past 2 days. Bonds have consolidated at slightly higher levels, and any movement will likely depend on upcoming data releases. Today's data showed modestly unfriendly results, including core durable goods at 0.6 vs 0.4 and a lackluster 20yr bond auction.
Feb 17, 2026 8:37 AM — Bond Markets
Mostly Holding Last Week's Impressive Gains
Bonds initially continued last week's gains at the start of the session, but these gains disappeared after a few hours of trading. Despite this, the movement wasn't concerning, and it is expected that bonds will stay within a 4.0-4.10% range in 10yr yields.
Feb 14, 2026 4:31 AM — Bond Markets
Bonds Rally, Ignoring Surge in SuperCore CPI
The CPI came in slightly below forecasts at the headline level and in line with forecasts at the core level. Shelter components, particularly Owners' Equivalent Rent, continued to decrease. Despite a surge in the supercore reading to the highest levels in a year, the bond market seems willing to look past this development, focusing more on the decline in housing-related metrics. 10yr yields are do... more
Feb 14, 2026 4:31 AM — Bond Markets
Bonds Close Out Epic Week of Resilience With Friendly Data
Despite events throughout the week that should have led to higher rates, bonds ended up at stronger levels. The main theory for this unexpected outcome involves heavy liquidation in stocks and commodities on Thursday. The upcoming holiday weekend positioning could also be a contributing factor. More information will likely be revealed next Tuesday, especially if stocks see a significant bounce.
Feb 12, 2026 2:33 PM — Bond Markets
Slower Data. Slower Morning
Big jobs reports can lead to increased momentum and volatility in the bond market in the following days, setting the tone for the month until the next jobs report. Despite some data indicating a slight increase in jobless claims, the trading day has been fairly average and uneventful.
Feb 12, 2026 2:30 PM — Bond Markets
Yields Magically and Mysteriously Sink to Lowest Levels in 2 Months.
The 10-year yields reached the lowest level since December 4th, 2025, at just over 4.10%. The gains were attributed to a flight to safety driven by heavy selling in stocks and commodities, despite the lack of major data to explain the trend. There was a mini-snowball rally with the help of stock losses, resulting in the best levels of the day.
Feb 11, 2026 2:30 PM — Bond Markets
Stunning Resilience
The bond market has shown impressive resilience with yields dropping significantly despite positive economic reports, including a lower unemployment rate and a higher payroll count. The market experienced a slight sell-off after the release of the latest jobs report, but the impact was not as severe as expected.
Feb 11, 2026 6:30 AM — Bond Markets
Bonds Selling But Not Panicking After Super Strong Jobs Numbers
Following a strong jobs report with higher than expected payrolls and a lower unemployment rate, 10yr yields are only 4.4bps higher at 4.19%. The healthcare sector saw significant gains in employment. The annual benchmark revisions to non-farm payrolls are not a surprise to the market and do not impact the unemployment rate, serving mainly for updating models for future payroll count measurements.
Feb 10, 2026 1:33 PM — Bond Markets
Best Levels in Weeks Ahead of High Stakes Jobs Report
Bonds saw increased buying thanks to a weak Retail Sales report, positioning in anticipation of a weak jobs report. If the jobs report surprises positively, there is a risk of a correction. Overall, there were gains in both MBS and 10yr yields throughout the day.
Feb 5, 2026 11:30 AM — Bond Markets
Surprisingly Big Bond Rally Relative to The Data
On Thursday, there was a significant rally in the bond market due to downbeat labor market reports, including Challenger, Jobless Claims, and Job Openings. Traders are being cautious ahead of the next week's big jobs report, leading to increased volatility expectations.
Feb 5, 2026 7:30 AM — Bond Markets
Stronger Start Thanks to Employment Data
Bonds started off stronger overnight and saw better gains after 7am ET, with notable bumps in volume after job cut and jobless claims data was released. The gains were more clearly linked to the Jobless Claims data. The morning's labor market data will be completed by the Job Openings report at 10am ET.
Feb 3, 2026 9:30 AM — Bond Markets
Home buyers might be hoping for lower mortgage rates with a new Fed chief. They’ll have to wait
CNN
The Fear & Greed Index assesses the sentiment of the market by looking at various factors such as stock price momentum, market volatility, and safe-haven demand. It aims to give investors an idea of whether the market is driven by fear or greed at the current time.
Feb 3, 2026 7:31 AM — Bond Markets
Data-Free Day Thanks to Shutdown
There is a partial government shutdown underway, affecting the publication of key reports by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Bond markets are waiting for direction while other economic data could potentially serve as supporting indicators.
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